San Lorenzo look the likeliest winner here. The market shows them with the shortest odds (around 2.15) and those odds have tightened a bit over the last 12 hours, while Defensa y Justicia are clear outsiders and the draw sits further back. The draw has strong consensus too, but the outright win tilt is clearly toward San Lorenzo. Home advantage in this league often matters, and that edge reinforces the market’s stance on San Lorenzo.
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