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Best odds
1.48
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.48u

Graded on Santos 3-0 Cruzeiro

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Santos Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.48
Result
Won
Graded score
Santos 3-0 Cruzeiro

Why the model called it

History

Despite Santos' lower overall win rate of 29.73% compared to Cruzeiro's 52.78%, Santos' odds of 1.48 suggest a stronger likelihood of winning, especially given their home advantage. The home win rate for Santos is slightly higher than their overall, indicating a better performance at home. The market odds heavily favor Santos, reflecting perhaps insider confidence or specific match conditions favoring the home side.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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