Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+0.48u
Graded on Santos 3-0 Cruzeiro
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Santos Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.48
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Santos 3-0 Cruzeiro
Why the model called it
Despite Santos' lower overall win rate of 29.73% compared to Cruzeiro's 52.78%, Santos' odds of 1.48 suggest a stronger likelihood of winning, especially given their home advantage. The home win rate for Santos is slightly higher than their overall, indicating a better performance at home. The market odds heavily favor Santos, reflecting perhaps insider confidence or specific match conditions favoring the home side.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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