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Best odds
1.80
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Sao Paulo 0-1 Bragantino-SP

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Sao Paulo Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.80
Result
Lost
Graded score
Sao Paulo 0-1 Bragantino-SP

Why the model called it

History

Sao Paulo, playing at home, has a strong home win rate of 58.33%, which is significantly higher than their overall win rate of 39.13%. This suggests a robust performance when they play in familiar conditions. The odds of 1.8 for Sao Paulo to win reflect the market's confidence in them over Bragantino-SP, whose odds are considerably higher at 5.6, indicating a lower probability of winning. Given these factors, Sao Paulo is the more likely victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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