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Best odds
1.89
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.89u

Graded on SC Freiburg 2-1 FC St. Pauli

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — SC Freiburg Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.89
Result
Won
Graded score
SC Freiburg 2-1 FC St. Pauli

Why the model called it

History

SC Freiburg, playing at home, is favored by the odds at 1.89 compared to FC St. Pauli's 4.9. Despite both teams showing an equal win rate of 50% in their respective home and away games, the significant difference in odds suggests a stronger market confidence in Freiburg's ability to capitalize on their home advantage. This aligns with typical home field benefits observed in Bundesliga matches, making Freiburg the more likely victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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