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Best odds
1.97
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.97u

Graded on SC Freiburg 4-0 FSV Mainz 05

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — SC Freiburg Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.97
Result
Won
Graded score
SC Freiburg 4-0 FSV Mainz 05

Why the model called it

History

SC Freiburg, playing at home, holds a distinct advantage against FSV Mainz 05, as reflected in the odds of 1.97 compared to 4.5 for Mainz. Freiburg's home win rate of 40% further supports their likelihood of securing a win, especially when considering Mainz's challenges in away settings. The odds suggest a higher probability of a Freiburg victory, making them the safer bet in this Bundesliga matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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