Serie B - ItalyFinal
Best odds
1.82
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+0.82u
Graded on Spezia 2-1 Pescara
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Spezia Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.82
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Spezia 2-1 Pescara
Why the model called it
Spezia, playing at home, holds a slight edge in this matchup against Pescara. Despite both teams showing modest form this season, Spezia's home win rate (11.11%) is slightly better than Pescara's overall win rate (6.25%). The odds from Matchbook also favor Spezia at 1.82, indicating a higher probability of winning. This aligns with the general expectation that home advantage plays a crucial role in football, particularly in tightly contested leagues like Serie B.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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