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Best odds
1.74
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.74u

Graded on Sport Recife 0-4 Grêmio

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Grêmio Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.74
Result
Won
Graded score
Sport Recife 0-4 Grêmio

Why the model called it

History

Grêmio is the clear favorite in this matchup, with odds of 1.74 compared to Sport Recife's 5.00. This disparity is supported by the teams' current form; Grêmio has a significantly higher overall win rate (32.4%) and away win rate (16.7%) compared to Sport Recife's overall win rate of just 5.4% and home win rate of 5.6%. The odds and performance metrics both suggest a stronger likelihood of an away win for Grêmio.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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