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Best odds
2.26
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.26u

Graded on SSV Ulm 1846 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — SSV Ulm 1846 Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.26
Result
Won
Graded score
SSV Ulm 1846 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue

Why the model called it

History

Analyzing the provided betting odds, SSV Ulm 1846 has odds of 2.26 compared to Erzgebirge Aue's odds of 3.6. Lower odds generally indicate a higher probability of winning as perceived by the bookmakers. In this case, SSV Ulm 1846, being the home team, is favored to win against Erzgebirge Aue according to the odds. The home advantage often plays a significant role in soccer, and the odds reflect this advantage in favor of SSV Ulm 1846. Given these factors, it is more likely that SSV Ulm 1846 will win the match, although the odds are not extremely low, suggesting that while they are favored, the match could still be competitive. Therefore, a confidence level of 70 is chosen to reflect a moderate level of certainty in this prediction.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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