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Best odds
1.43
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.43u

Graded on Swansea City 3-1 Crawley Town

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Swansea City Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.43
Result
Won
Graded score
Swansea City 3-1 Crawley Town

Why the model called it

History

Swansea City, playing at home in the EFL Cup, is significantly favored with odds of 1.43 compared to Crawley Town's 8.25. The disparity in odds suggests a strong expectation of a Swansea victory, likely due to their superior league performance and the advantage of playing at home. Given these factors, Swansea City is the more probable winner in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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