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Liga MXFinal

Toluca WinToluca vs Monterrey Prediction · Match Result

The Pitch Master
See all Toluca vs Monterrey odds & predictions
Best odds
1.64
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.64u

Graded on Toluca 3-2 Monterrey

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Toluca Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.64
Result
Won
Graded score
Toluca 3-2 Monterrey

Why the model called it

History

Toluca, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 60% and an overall win rate of 63.16%, indicating solid performance in their venue. The odds of 1.64 for Toluca to win reflect the market's confidence in them continuing this trend against Monterrey, whose odds of 4.9 suggest they are significantly less favored in this matchup. Given Toluca's consistent form and the advantage of playing at home, they are the more likely victors in this Liga MX clash.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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