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Best odds
2.02
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.02u

Graded on Toluca 2-1 New York City FC

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Toluca Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.02
Result
Won
Graded score
Toluca 2-1 New York City FC

Why the model called it

History

Analyzing the provided odds from the bookmakers, Toluca has odds of 2.02 while New York City FC has odds of 3.65. Lower odds generally indicate a higher probability of that outcome occurring according to the market consensus. In this case, Toluca's odds are significantly lower than those for New York City FC, suggesting that the market views Toluca as more likely to win this match. The difference in odds is substantial enough to suggest a clearer advantage for Toluca, leading to a confidence level of 70 in predicting Toluca as the more likely winner of this match.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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