Won+0.95u
Graded on Toluca 2-1 Tigres
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Toluca Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.95
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Toluca 2-1 Tigres
Why the model called it
Toluca, playing at home, shows a strong win rate of approximately 63.6% in home games and an overall win rate of 61.9%. The odds of 1.95 for Toluca to win reflect their favorable position, especially when compared to Tigres' odds of 4.15, indicating a lower probability of an away win. Given Toluca's solid performance at home, they are more likely to secure a victory in this Liga MX matchup.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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