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Best odds
1.77
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1-2 Alianza Lima

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Universidad Católica del Ecuador Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.77
Result
Lost
Graded score
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1-2 Alianza Lima

Why the model called it

History

Universidad Católica del Ecuador, playing at home, is favored with odds of 1.77 compared to Alianza Lima's 5.3. Home advantage is a significant factor in soccer, especially in international competitions like the Copa Sudamericana where travel can impact the visiting team's performance. The odds suggest a stronger probability of a home win, reflecting market confidence in Universidad Católica del Ecuador's ability to leverage their home ground effectively.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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