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Best odds
1.85
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Universitatea Craiova 1-0 FSV Mainz 05

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — FSV Mainz 05 Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.85
Result
Lost
Graded score
Universitatea Craiova 1-0 FSV Mainz 05

Why the model called it

History

FSV Mainz 05, despite playing away, are favored with odds of 1.85 compared to Universitatea Craiova's 4.75. This suggests a strong belief in Mainz's superiority, likely due to their overall team quality and experience in European competitions. Although Craiova has a solid home win rate of 75%, the quality of opposition they face in domestic leagues is generally not as high as a Bundesliga team like Mainz. Therefore, Mainz is the more likely winner in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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