Serie B - ItalyFinal
Best odds
2.36
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+1.36u
Graded on Venezia 2-0 Monza
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Venezia Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.36
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Venezia 2-0 Monza
Why the model called it
Venezia, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 85.71%, which is significantly higher than their overall win rate of 50%. This suggests a robust home-field advantage. Monza, despite a decent overall win rate of 64.29%, has a lower away win rate of 42.86%, indicating they struggle more on the road. The odds favor Venezia at 2.36, reflecting the market's confidence in their home performance against Monza. Given these dynamics, Venezia is the more likely victor in this matchup.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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