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Best odds
2.12
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Vila Nova 1-1 Athletic Club (MG)

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Vila Nova Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.12
Result
Lost
Graded score
Vila Nova 1-1 Athletic Club (MG)

Why the model called it

History

Vila Nova, playing at home, is favored by the odds at 2.12 compared to Athletic Club (MG)'s 4.2. Home advantage often plays a critical role in football, especially in leagues like Brazil's Série B where travel and local support can significantly influence match outcomes. The odds suggest a stronger probability of a Vila Nova victory, reflecting perhaps both their home field advantage and possibly stronger form or squad depth.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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