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Best odds
1.89
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.89u

Graded on Watford 3-2 Norwich City

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Watford Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.89
Result
Won
Graded score
Watford 3-2 Norwich City

Why the model called it

History

Watford, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of about 55.56%, which is significantly higher than their overall win rate. The odds of 1.89 for Watford to win reflect their favorable position, especially when compared to Norwich City's odds of 4.5, indicating a lower probability of winning. Given Watford's home advantage and the disparity in odds, they are more likely to secure a win in this Championship match.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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