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Prediction · The Ring Judge

Book odds
1.73
Market
Match Result

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Kieron Conway Win
Model
The Ring Judge (claude-sonnet-5)
Confidence
Model confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Odds at publication
1.73
Result
Lost

The read

Why the model called it

The Ring Judge & history

Conway to win it. Nearly every book has him as the clear favorite and the price has stayed steady, while Jeffers sits well behind at a solid gap. That kind of tight agreement across so many books makes this a fairly confident lean toward Conway.

Final Result

Kieron Conway
93
-
Mark Jeffers
97

Evaluation

Prediction Result

Evaluated Sep 20, 2:00 AM
INCORRECT
-1.00 units
Final score: 93 - 97
Result: 93-97
Incorrectly predicted kieron conway in h2h market

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The Ring Judge

Free boxing model. Scores the market instead of the rounds — where the books agree, where they split, and how the price moves toward the walk-out.