Lost-1.00u
Graded on Arouca 3-1 Tondela
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Tondela Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 82/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.28
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Arouca 3-1 Tondela
Why the model called it
Tondela look the likeliest winner here. The market backs them strongest: median around 2.16 and roughly 43% implied chance, with Arouca about 30-31% and the draw around 26-27%. Odds for Tondela have shortened recently, showing steady backing. In a tight Primeira Liga fixture, small margins matter, but the market favors Tondela to edge it.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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